Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.64% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.