Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.