League One
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Emilio Lawrence 28' goal
  • Gideon Kodua 71' yellowcard
  • Davy van den Berg 72' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 72' yellowcard
  • Sverre Sandal 88' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 45'
  • yellowcard A. Sidibeh 46'
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 50'
  • yellowcard M. Mothersille 68'
  • goal Oliver Norwood 78'
  • yellowcard Josh Stokes 84'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 85'

Luton Town vs Stockport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 3 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Stockport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Stockport 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kyle Wootton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 47%
Draw 25.56%
Stockport County 27.48% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.36% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.64% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.32% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.68% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.76% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.24% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.03% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.97% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 35.35%
Draw 40.42%
Stockport County 24.22%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 53.15%
No Goal 6.82% (-0.01)
Stockport County 40.03% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.34% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.74% (+0.05)
Under 8 32.92% (-0.11)
Over 9 43.6% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.05)
Under 9 44.66% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 32.82% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 67.18% (+0.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 45.27% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.73% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.26%
Under 3.5 92.74%

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5 63.6% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 36.4% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.68% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.32% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Luton Town 47%
Draw 25.56%
Stockport County 27.48%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.1%
Total : 47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.56%
Stockport County
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81% (+0.02)
Total : 27.48%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League One
Jan 15, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Coyne 29' goal
  • Steve Howard 54' goal
  • Kevin Nicholls 74' goal
League One
Sep 18, 2004 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lee Mair 22' yellowcard
  • Jim Goodwin 74' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 80' goal
  • goal Steve Robinson 33'
  • goal Rowan Vine 35'
  • goal Ahmet Brkovic 54'