League One Gameweek 42
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 2 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 34.15% and a draw has a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

AFC Wimbledon 39.35% (-0.84)
Draw 26.53% (-0.09)
Luton Town 34.15% (+0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.35% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.65% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 51.38% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 48.62% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 29.19% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 70.81% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 16.06% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 83.94% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 30.64% (-0.33)
Draw 43.88% (+0.61)
Luton Town 25.48% (-0.29)

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 49.02% (-0.28)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.13)
Luton Town 44.15% (+0.41)

Corners

Over 8 56.1% (-0.75)
Equal 8 11.89% (+0.01)
Under 8 32% (+0.72)
Over 9 44.14% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.97% (-0.06)
Under 9 43.9% (+0.75)
Over 10.5 33.11% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 66.89% (+0.58)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 39.76% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 60.24% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 16.43% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 83.57% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.44)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.22% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 30.78% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 35.68% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 64.32% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 13.79% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 86.21% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 4.38% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.62% (-0.08)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 39.35%
Draw 26.53%
Luton Town 34.16%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.37% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.08)
Other @ 5.28% (-0.43)
Total : 39.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.83% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 26.53%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 8.49% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.12% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.33% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.42% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.18% (+0.09)
Total : 34.16%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Elliot Lee 8' goal
  • James Collins 39' goal
  • Kazenga LuaLua 70' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Pigott 19'
  • goal Joe Pigott 28'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 38'
  • goal Steve Seddon 93'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium (Kingston upon Thames, Surrey)
  • goal Pelly Ruddock 61'
  • goal Elliot Lee 80'
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lyle Taylor 14' goal
  • Jonathan Meades 62' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Shinnie 12'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 60'
  • goal Andrew Shinnie 72'
League Two
Feb 13, 2016 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Sweeney 23' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 25' goal
  • Sean Rigg 47' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 49' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Benson 38'
  • goal Jack Marriott 59'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 75'
League Two
Sep 26, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Marriott 79' goal
  • Paddy McCourt 89' yellowcard
  • Jack Marriott 94' goal
  • yellowcard Karleigh Osborne 30'
  • redcard Karleigh Osborne 35'