Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.