League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • J. Russell 21' goal
  • J. Russell 28' goal
  • R. Oates 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Moriah-Welsh 58' yellowcard
  • D. Dwyer 79' yellowcard
  • Oliver Irow 79' yellowcard
  • F. Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 40'
  • yellowcard Joseph Johnson 46'
  • goal Shayden Morris 50'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 69'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 80'
  • yellowcard Devante Cole 89'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 89'

Mansfield Town vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Leyton Orient 0 - 0 Mansfield
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
J. Russell

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Kasey Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Mansfield Town 36.27% (+0.04)
Draw 25.38% (-0.05)
Luton Town 38.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.47% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.73% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.27% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.52% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.48% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mansfield Town 29.58%
Draw 42.1%
Luton Town 28.32%

Team To Score First

Mansfield Town 45.13% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.39% (-0.03)
Luton Town 48.48% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.6%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 27.59%
Over 9 48.26%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 39.4%
Over 10.5 36.53%
Under 10.5 63.47%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 1.5 37.34% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.66% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.73%
Under 3.5 95.27%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.05% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.68% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.2%
Under 3.5 94.8%

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 36.26%
Draw 25.38%
Luton Town 38.35%
Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.65% (+0.02)
Total : 36.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 25.38%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 38.35%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Sheehan 37' yellowcard
  • James Collins 61' goal
  • Glen Rea 71' goal
  • James Shea 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kane Hemmings 34'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 37'
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 69'
  • yellowcard Jacob Mellis 72'
  • yellowcard Hayden White 86'
League Two
Aug 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rhys Bennett 23' goal
  • Jacob Mellis 34' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 67' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 71' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 72' yellowcard
  • Joel Byrom 73' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 82' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bennett 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Potts 22'
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 34'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 56'
  • goal James Collins 85'
  • goal Danny Hylton 89'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 92'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 95'
  • yellowcard Marek Stech 96'
League Two
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfie Potter 23' goal
  • Danny Rose 44' yellowcard
  • Jake Kean 52' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Hylton 51'
League Two
Oct 22, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cameron McGeehan 77' goal
  • Olly Lee 94' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Green 9'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Rose 72'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 86'
League Two
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Clements 28' yellowcard
  • goal Paddy McCourt 7'
  • goal Pelly Ruddock 54'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 64'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 83'