League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
Barnsley 2 - 2 Bradford
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw has a probability of 23.24% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (6.22%).

Result

Luton Town 55.01%
Draw 23.24%
Barnsley 21.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97%
Under 1.5 24.03%
Over 2.5 53.44%
Under 2.5 46.56%
Over 3.5 31.42%
Under 3.5 68.58%
Over 4.5 18.79%
Under 4.5 81.21%

First Half Winner

Luton Town 44.5%
Draw 37.44%
Barnsley 18.06%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 57.5%
No Goal 6.54%
Barnsley 35.96%

Corners

Over 8 72.58%
Equal 8 9.83%
Under 8 17.59%
Over 9 61.1%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 27.42%
Over 10.5 49.01%
Under 10.5 50.99%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.67%
Under 1.5 48.33%
Over 2.5 26.41%
Under 2.5 73.59%
Over 3.5 10.74%
Under 3.5 89.26%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 57.3%
Under 0.5 42.7%
Over 1.5 24.84%
Under 1.5 75.16%
Over 2.5 8.08%
Under 2.5 91.92%
Over 3.5 2.1%
Under 3.5 97.9%

Score analysis

Luton Town 55.01%
Draw 23.24%
Barnsley 21.75%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 10.6%
Total : 55.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.24%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 6.22%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.75%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Allan Campbell 28' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 59' goal
  • Allan Campbell 87' yellowcard
  • goal Carlton Morris 44'
  • yellowcard Bradley Collins 60'
  • yellowcard Liam Kitching 89'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michal Helik 37' yellowcard
  • goal Amari'i Bell 4'
  • yellowcard Admiral Muskwe 41'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 45'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 57'
  • yellowcard Harry Cornick 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Sonny Bradley 54' yellowcard
  • James Collins 83' goal
  • goal Daryl Dike 27'
  • goal Daryl Dike 59'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Cauley Woodrow 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 31'
  • yellowcard James Collins 57'
  • goal James Collins 71'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 84'
Championship Gameweek 42
Jul 7, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Luke Berry 14' goal
  • Simon Sluga 16' yellowcard
  • Daniel Potts 42' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 64' yellowcard
  • Martin Cranie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 54'
  • yellowcard Mads Andersen 63'
  • goal Aapo Halme 84'