Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.47% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.