League One Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Bradford 1 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 2 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kasey Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 28.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 0-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 46.06% (+0.24)
Draw 25.64% (-0.04)
Luton Town 28.27% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.46% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.43% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.57% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.98% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.46% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.54% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 36.03%
Draw 39.6%
Luton Town 24.37%

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 51.36%
No Goal 7.21%
Luton Town 41.43%

Corners

Over 8 66.75%
Equal 8 10.29%
Under 8 22.96%
Over 9 55.5%
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 33.25%
Over 10.5 44.24%
Under 10.5 55.76%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 44.2% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 55.8% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 19.84% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 80.16% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 7.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.87% (-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.87% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 37.13% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 30.34% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 69.66% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 11.05% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 88.95% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.18% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.82% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 46.06%
Draw 25.64%
Luton Town 28.27%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.84% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.95% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 6.98% (+0.07)
Total : 46.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.03% (-0.08)
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nigel Lonwijk 57' yellowcard
  • 57' yellowcard
  • Gideon Kadua 83' goal
  • goal Kyle Dempsey 8'
  • yellowcard Xavier Simons 53'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 61'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Xavier Simons 70'
FA Cup
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 11' goal
  • William Forrester 27' yellowcard
  • goal Tahith Chong 15'
  • yellowcard Teden Mengi 31'
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 57'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 64'
FA Cup
Jan 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jordan Clark 90'+1' yellowcard