League One Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Reading 3 - 4 Luton

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 1 - 1 Leicester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw has a probability of 25.03% and a win for Notts County has a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Notts County win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result

Luton Town 54.42% (+0.04)
Draw 25.03% (-0.03)
Notts County 20.55% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.25%
Under 2.5 53.75%
Over 3.5 24.99%
Under 3.5 74.98% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.03% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.97% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 38.51% (+0.04)
Draw 40.88% (-0.08)
Notts County 20.61% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 54.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.52% (-0.04)
Notts County 36.9% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.39% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 31.13% (+0.01)
Over 9 45.73% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 42.61% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.86% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.14% (+0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 47.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.93% (-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 54.36% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.64% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.87% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 5.95%
Under 2.5 94.05%
Over 3.5 1.47%
Under 3.5 98.53%

Score analysis

Luton Town 54.42%
Draw 25.03%
Notts County 20.55%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 10.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.06% (+0.01)
Total : 54.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.03%
Notts County
0-1 @ 7.02%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.55%

Head to Head

League Two
May 5, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Jones 65' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Forte 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Hall 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 45'
  • redcard Danny Hylton 58'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 90'
League Two
Dec 9, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johnny Mullins 26' goal
  • Alan Sheehan 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 23'
  • yellowcard Elliott Hewitt 54'
  • goal Shola Ameobi 61'
  • yellowcard Jon Stead 67'
  • yellowcard Shola Ameobi 76'
League Two
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ollie Palmer 16' goal
  • Danny Hylton 26' yellowcard
  • Pelly Ruddock 45' goal
  • Danny Hylton 91' redcard
  • Pelly Ruddock 95' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Hewitt 6'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 29'
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 49'
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 76'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 90'
League Two
Oct 29, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Duffy 57' yellowcard
  • Haydn Hollis 58' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 34'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 55'
League Two
Jan 30, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Lawless 3' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 32' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Sheehan 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Izale McLeod 60'
  • goal Jon Stead 70'
League Two
Sep 12, 2015 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Izale McLeod 10' yellowcard
  • Gill Swerts 15' yellowcard
  • Genaro Snijders 29' yellowcard
  • Izale McLeod 32' goal
  • Mawouna Amevor 44' yellowcard
  • Izale McLeod 48' goal
  • Graham Burke 88' yellowcard
  • Liam Noble 93' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Green 34'
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 71'
  • goal Jonathan Smith 76'
  • redcard Scott Cuthbert 91'