League One Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • G. Johnston 32' yellowcard
  • Nahki Wells 42' goal
  • Kal Naismith 45' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 47' yellowcard
  • Nahki Wells 56' yellowcard
  • Callum Marshall 68' goal
  • Liam Walsh 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Smyth 31'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 39'
  • goal Callum Roberts 45'+1'
  • goal Oliver Cooper 61'
  • yellowcard Hindolo Mustapha 90'+3'

Luton Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Reading 3 - 4 Luton
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kasey Palmer

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 1 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Conor Grant

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.02% and a win for Notts County had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Notts County win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 54.52%
Draw 25.02%
Notts County 20.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.22%
Under 1.5 28.78%
Over 2.5 46.22%
Under 2.5 53.78%
Over 3.5 24.94%
Under 3.5 75.06%
Over 4.5 13.99%
Under 4.5 86.01%

First Half Winner

Luton Town 38.56%
Draw 40.87%
Notts County 20.57%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 54.54% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Notts County 36.95%

Corners

Over 8 57.4%
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 31.12%
Over 9 45.74%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 42.6%
Over 10.5 34.87%
Under 10.5 65.13%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 47.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.88%
Under 2.5 78.12%
Over 3.5 8.09%
Under 3.5 91.91%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 54.27%
Under 0.5 45.73%
Over 1.5 21.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.87%
Under 2.5 94.13%
Over 3.5 1.44%
Under 3.5 98.56%

Score analysis

Luton Town 54.52%
Draw 25.03%
Notts County 20.44%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 8.08%
Total : 54.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.03%
Notts County
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.44%

Head to Head

League Two
May 5, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Jones 65' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Forte 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Hall 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 45'
  • redcard Danny Hylton 58'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 90'
League Two
Dec 9, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johnny Mullins 26' goal
  • Alan Sheehan 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 23'
  • yellowcard Elliott Hewitt 54'
  • goal Shola Ameobi 61'
  • yellowcard Jon Stead 67'
  • yellowcard Shola Ameobi 76'
League Two
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ollie Palmer 16' goal
  • Danny Hylton 26' yellowcard
  • Pelly Ruddock 45' goal
  • Danny Hylton 91' redcard
  • Pelly Ruddock 95' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Hewitt 6'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 29'
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 49'
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 76'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 90'
League Two
Oct 29, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Duffy 57' yellowcard
  • Haydn Hollis 58' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 34'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 55'
League Two
Jan 30, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Lawless 3' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 32' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Sheehan 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Izale McLeod 60'
  • goal Jon Stead 70'
League Two
Sep 12, 2015 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Izale McLeod 10' yellowcard
  • Gill Swerts 15' yellowcard
  • Genaro Snijders 29' yellowcard
  • Izale McLeod 32' goal
  • Mawouna Amevor 44' yellowcard
  • Izale McLeod 48' goal
  • Graham Burke 88' yellowcard
  • Liam Noble 93' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Green 34'
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 71'
  • goal Jonathan Smith 76'
  • redcard Scott Cuthbert 91'