EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Notts County

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Burnley 36.68%
Draw 23.73%
Notts County 39.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.93%
Under 1.5 23.07%
Over 2.5 53.97%
Under 2.5 46.08%
Over 3.5 31.33%
Under 3.5 68.67%
Over 4.5 18.38%
Under 4.5 81.62%

First Half Winner

Burnley 29.3%
Draw 40.34%
Notts County 30.36%

Team To Score First

Burnley 42.77%
No Goal 6.35%
Notts County 50.88%

Corners

Over 8 55.91%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 32.51%
Over 9 44.32%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 44.1%
Over 10.5 33.68%
Under 10.5 66.32%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 37.66%
Under 1.5 62.34%
Over 2.5 16.39%
Under 2.5 83.61%
Over 3.5 5.33%
Under 3.5 94.67%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 71.79%
Under 0.5 28.21%
Over 1.5 40.45%
Under 1.5 59.55%
Over 2.5 17.07%
Under 2.5 82.93%
Over 3.5 6.36%
Under 3.5 93.64%

Score analysis

Burnley 36.67%
Draw 23.74%
Notts County 39.59%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 36.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.74%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 6.27%
Total : 39.59%