Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.