Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.