League Two
May 15, 2026 8.00pm
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 6.00pm
Chesterfield 0 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 6.00pm
Chesterfield 0 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 34.19% and a draw has a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result

Notts County 39.53% (+0.08)
Draw 26.28% (-0.10)
Chesterfield 34.19% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.05% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 23.95% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 51.65% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 48.35% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 29.28% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 70.72% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 16.01% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 83.99% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Notts County 32.15%
Draw 43.02%
Chesterfield 24.83%

Team To Score First

Notts County 49.21% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.44% (-0.13)
Chesterfield 44.35% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.63%
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 34.97%
Over 9 40.5%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 47.37%
Over 10.5 29.65%
Under 10.5 70.35%

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 39.94% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 60.06% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.4% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 94.6% (-0.15)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 30.95% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.93% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 64.07% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 14.24% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.76% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.47% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.53% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Notts County 39.53%
Draw 26.27%
Chesterfield 34.18%
Notts County
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.23% (+0.14)
Total : 39.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 26.27%
Chesterfield
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.3% (+0.13)
Total : 34.18%

Head to Head

League Two
May 10, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Lee Bonis 6' yellowcard
  • W. Dickson 39' yellowcard
  • Janoi Donacien 46' yellowcard
  • Tom Pearce 62' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 76' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 77' yellowcard
  • goal Jayden Luker 28'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 68'
  • yellowcard Maziar Kouhyar 69'
  • yellowcard Lee Ndlovu 78'
League Two
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Sil Swinkels 36' goal
  • Matthew Platt 45'+1' goal
  • Lewis Macari 57' yellowcard
  • Keanan Bennetts 58' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Hall 58' yellowcard
  • Maziar Kouhyar 77' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 78' yellowcard
  • goal Armando Dobra 16'
  • goal Tom Naylor 44'
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 48'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 49'
  • goal Liam Mandeville 66'
  • yellowcard Will Grigg 76'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stirk 87'
  • yellowcard Malik Owolabi-Belewu 87'
League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle McFadzean 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 19' yellowcard
  • Jamie Grimes 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 65' goal
  • Kelle Roos 76' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 48'
  • yellowcard Nick Tsaroulla 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 87'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Will Jarvis 81' goal
  • goal Aribim Pepple 70'
  • goal Tom Naylor 88'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Paddy Madden 6' goal
  • Jenson Metcalfe 64' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 74' goal
  • Oliver Banks 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 14'
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 87'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+4'
National League
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Wembley Stadium
  • Andy Dallas 6' goal
  • Armando Dobra 93' goal
  • goal John Bostock 88'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 108'