League Two
May 10, 2026 6.00pm
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Chesterfield
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Notts County 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw has a probability of 25.71% and a win for Notts County has a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Notts County win it is 0-1 (7.48%).

Result

Chesterfield 49.74%
Draw 25.71%
Notts County 24.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.96% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 27.04% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.88%
Under 2.5 52.09%
Over 3.5 25.37%
Under 3.5 74.63%
Over 4.5 13.87% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.13% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Chesterfield 37.53%
Draw 41.28%
Notts County 21.18%

Team To Score First

Chesterfield 53.05%
No Goal 7.64%
Notts County 39.31%

Corners

Over 8 58.2%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 30.1%
Over 9 46.24%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 41.8%
Over 10.5 35.03%
Under 10.5 64.97%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 1.5 45.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.87%
Under 2.5 80.13%
Over 3.5 6.91%
Under 3.5 93.09%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 59.84% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.16% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.06% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 49.73%
Draw 25.71%
Notts County 24.54%
Chesterfield
1-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 6.84%
Total : 49.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 25.71%
Notts County
0-1 @ 7.48%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head

League Two
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Sil Swinkels 36' goal
  • Matthew Platt 45'+1' goal
  • Lewis Macari 57' yellowcard
  • Keanan Bennetts 58' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Hall 58' yellowcard
  • Maziar Kouhyar 77' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 78' yellowcard
  • goal Armando Dobra 16'
  • goal Tom Naylor 44'
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 48'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 49'
  • goal Liam Mandeville 66'
  • yellowcard Will Grigg 76'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stirk 87'
  • yellowcard Malik Owolabi-Belewu 87'
League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle McFadzean 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 19' yellowcard
  • Jamie Grimes 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 65' goal
  • Kelle Roos 76' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 48'
  • yellowcard Nick Tsaroulla 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 87'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Will Jarvis 81' goal
  • goal Aribim Pepple 70'
  • goal Tom Naylor 88'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Paddy Madden 6' goal
  • Jenson Metcalfe 64' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 74' goal
  • Oliver Banks 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 14'
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 87'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+4'
National League
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Wembley Stadium
  • Andy Dallas 6' goal
  • Armando Dobra 93' goal
  • goal John Bostock 88'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 108'
National League Gameweek 28
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 45'+3' goal
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 25'
  • goal Adam Chicksen 72'