Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.71% and a win for Notts County had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%) , while for a Notts County win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.