Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.