League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 12.30pm
CNG Stadium

Harrogate Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Oldham 1 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Chanse Headman

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Oldham 3 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw has a probability of 24.78% and a win for Harrogate Town has a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it is 1-0 (7.26%).

Result

Harrogate Town 22.83% (+3.40)
Draw 24.78% (+0.92)
Notts County 52.42% (-4.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% (+2.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.73% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 27.27% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 47.88% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 52.12% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 26.5% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 73.5% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 14.91% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.09% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Harrogate Town 22.29% (+1.24)
Draw 42.31% (+0.68)
Notts County 35.4% (-1.90)

Team To Score First

Harrogate Town 34.35% (+3.59)
No Goal 7.67% (-0.09)
Notts County 57.98% (-3.50)

Corners

Over 8 60.35% (-1.54)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.03)
Under 8 28.25% (+1.56)
Over 9 48.48% (-1.34)
Equal 9 11.87% (-0.21)
Under 9 39.65% (+1.54)
Over 10.5 37.17% (-1.04)
Under 10.5 62.83% (+1.04)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 1.5 23.71% (+3.39)
Under 1.5 76.29% (-3.38)
Over 2.5 7.12% (+1.57)
Under 2.5 92.88% (-1.57)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.55)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 78.61% (-1.86)
Under 0.5 21.39% (+1.86)
Over 1.5 47.03% (-2.76)
Under 1.5 52.97% (+2.76)
Over 2.5 21.7% (-2.16)
Under 2.5 78.3% (+2.16)
Over 3.5 8.13% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 91.87% (+1.16)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 22.83%
Draw 24.78%
Notts County 52.42%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 7.26% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 5.65% (+0.71)
2-0 @ 3.62% (+0.62)
3-1 @ 1.92% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 1.51% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.81% (+0.53)
Total : 22.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (+0.47)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.42)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 24.78%
Notts County
0-1 @ 12.37% (-0.69)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-1.15)
0-3 @ 5.09% (-0.96)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.1% (-1.17)
Total : 52.42%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Jack Muldoon 37' goal
  • goal George Abbott 33'
  • goal Conor Grant 51'
  • goal Conor Grant 76'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Alassana Jatta 58' goal
  • Nick Tsaroulla 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Folarin 72'
  • yellowcard Simon Weaver 73'
  • yellowcard Matty Daly 83'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Macaulay Langstaff 45'+2' goal
  • Kyle Cameron 48' yellowcard
  • Aiden Baldwin 56' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 75' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 80' yellowcard
  • Jim O'Brien 89' goal
  • yellowcard George Thomson 45'+5'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • George Thomson 7' goal
  • Dean Cornelius 26' yellowcard
  • Abraham Odoh 32' goal
  • Kayne Ramsay 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 51'
  • yellowcard Adam Chicksen 54'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 57'
  • goal Jodi Jones 67'
National League
Aug 2, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • George Thomson 5' goal
  • Connor Hall 28' goal
  • Connor Hall 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 70' goal
  • Lloyd Kerry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Bagan 27'
  • goal Cal Roberts 46'
  • yellowcard Cal Roberts 52'