Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.78% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.