League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Kelly N'Mai

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 12.30pm
Harrogate 0 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 33.67% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result

Salford City 40.49% (-0.06)
Draw 25.81%
Notts County 33.67% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.17% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.68%
Under 2.5 46.32%
Over 3.5 31.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.54% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.08% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.92% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Salford City 30.63%
Draw 43.51%
Notts County 25.86%

Team To Score First

Salford City 47.01%
No Goal 6.43% (-0.02)
Notts County 46.56% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.43% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 32.53% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.37% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 44.57% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 32.33% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.67% (-0.02)

Salford City Goals

Over 1.5 41.78% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.22% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.43% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.57% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.75%
Under 3.5 93.25%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.06% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 63.93% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.64% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.72% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Salford City 40.49%
Draw 25.81%
Notts County 33.67%
Salford City
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 6.52%
Total : 40.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.81%
Notts County
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Total : 33.67%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 67' goal
  • Matt Palmer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Platt 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 53'
  • goal Luke Garbutt 77'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Conor McAleny 14' goal
  • Cole Stockton 31' goal
  • Kelly N'Mai 47' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 54' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 86'
  • yellowcard Alassana Jatta 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Dan Crowley 53' goal
  • goal Conor McAleny 31'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 49'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 80'
  • goal Conor McAleny 87'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Ethan Ingram 76' yellowcard
  • Conor McAleny 84' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 87' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal David McGoldrick 37'
  • goal Dan Crowley 63'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 68'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 89'
  • redcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'