League Two
Gameweek
40
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fsallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
-
Matt Butcher
66'
-
Fabio Borini
69'
-
Cole Stockton
90'+1'
-
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
59'
-
Jack Sanders
59'
-
Scott Hogan
78'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
79'
-
Aaron Nemane
87'
Salford City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fkarl-robinson-696042e5c2195796601755.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Salford City
38.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.27%
▼
(-0.04)
MK Dons
35.77%
Both Teams to Score:
59.03%
Goals
Over 1.5
79.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
20.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
57.17%
Under 2.5
42.83%
Over 3.5
34.65%
Under 3.5
65.35%
Over 4.5
20.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
79.6%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Salford City
29.66%
Draw
41.6%
MK Dons
28.74%
Team To Score First
Salford City
46.54%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
5.58%
▼
(-0.02)
MK Dons
47.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
54.49%
▼
(-0.05)
Equal 8
11.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
33.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 9
42.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 9
11.61%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
45.51%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 10.5
32.3%
Under 10.5
67.7%
Salford City Goals
Over 1.5
42.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
57.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
19.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
80.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
6.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
93.14%
▲
(+0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
71.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
28.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
39.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
60.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
16.97%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
83.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
6.26%
Under 3.5
93.74%
Score analysis
Salford City
38.93%
Draw
25.26%
MK Dons
35.78%
Salford City
2-1
@
8.55%
1-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 3.13%
Other @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.93%
1-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 3.13%
Other @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.38%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.26%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.26%
MK Dons
1-2
@
8.25%
0-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.78%
0-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.78%
Head to Head
League Two
League Two
Gameweek
25
-
Hakeeb Adelakun
35'
-
Ossama Ashley
50'
-
Curtis Tilt
52'
-
Ryan Watson
69'
-
Liam Shephard
78'
League Two
Gameweek
4
-
Francis Okoronkko
42'
-
Tom Edwards
60'
League Two
Gameweek
37
-
Mike Williamson
21'
-
Kyran Lofthouse
27'
-
Alex Gilbey
31'
-
Matt Smith
45'+7'
-
Lewis Bate
74'
-
Ellis Harrison
74'
-
Matt Smith
12'
-
Connor McLennan
20'
-
Matt Smith
54'
-
Conor McAleny
71'
-
Theo Vassell
74'
-
Matthew Lund
82'
League Two
Gameweek
19
-
Matthew Lund
33'
-
Neil Wood
34'
-
Kelly N'Mai
36'
-
Ryan Watson
45'+2'
-
Adrian Mariappa
64'
-
Max Dean
10'
-
Joe Tomlinson
50'
-
MJ Williams
67'
-
Joe Tomlinson
72'
-
Joe Tomlinson
73'
-
Ellis Harrison
88'