League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Cambridge 1 - 0 Salford City
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Kelly N'Mai

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
MK Dons 1 - 3 Barnet
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 35.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Salford City 38.93% (-0.11)
Draw 25.3%
MK Dons 35.8% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.03% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.34% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.13% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.87% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 34.62% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.38% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 20.38% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 79.62% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Salford City 29.66%
Draw 41.6%
MK Dons 28.74%

Team To Score First

Salford City 46.53% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.6% (-0.02)
MK Dons 47.87% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.54% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.72% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.74% (-0.08)
Over 9 42.91% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.02)
Under 9 45.46% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 32.3% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 67.7% (-0.11)

Salford City Goals

Over 1.5 42.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.04% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.96% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.15% (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 71.48% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.52% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 39.89% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.11% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.96% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 83.04% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 6.25% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 93.75% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Salford City 38.93%
Draw 25.29%
MK Dons 35.8%
Salford City
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.5% (+0.01)
Total : 38.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.01)
Total : 25.29%
MK Dons
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 5.9% (+0.07)
Total : 35.8%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Hakeeb Adelakun 35'
  • yellowcard Ossama Ashley 50'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 52'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Shephard 78'
League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Francis Okoronkko 42' goal
  • Tom Edwards 60' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mike Williamson 21' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 27' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 31' goal
  • Matt Smith 45'+7' goal
  • Lewis Bate 74' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 12'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 20'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 71'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 74'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 82'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Moor Lane
  • Matthew Lund 33' yellowcard
  • Neil Wood 34' yellowcard
  • Kelly N'Mai 36' goal
  • Ryan Watson 45'+2' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 64' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 10'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 50'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 67'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 72'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 73'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 88'