League Two
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Jon Mellish 7' goal
  • A. Collins 36' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 62' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 70' yellowcard
  • G. Jones 70' yellowcard
  • Joseph Tomlinson 74' yellowcard
  • goal Kabongo Tshimanga 48'
  • goal Danny Collinge 45'+5'
  • goal Idris Kanu 57'
  • yellowcard Joe Kizzi 87'
  • yellowcard Oli Hawkins 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Anthony Hartigan 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Diallang Jaiyesimi 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Phillip Chinedu 90'+9'

MK Dons vs Barnet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Barnet

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Crawley 1 - 1 Barnet
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kabongo Tshimanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 44.72% (+0.11)
Draw 27.28% (-0.02)
Barnet 28% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.22%
Under 1.5 29.78%
Over 2.5 44.64% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 55.36% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.66% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.27% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.73% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 33.51%
Draw 41.58%
Barnet 24.91%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 50.04%
No Goal 8.81%
Barnet 41.15%

Corners

Over 8 51.14% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 36.75% (-0.08)
Over 9 39.44% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.86% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.04% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.96% (-0.06)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 39.85% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 60.15% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.75% (-0.02)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5 61.92% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 38.08% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.79% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 91.21% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MK Dons 44.72%
Draw 27.28%
Barnet 28%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.12% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.19% (+0.03)
Total : 44.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.28%
Barnet
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Total : 28%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Matthew Dennis 61' goal
  • goal F. Wilkinson 66'
  • goal Billy Clifford 77'
FA Cup
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard John Freeman 13'
  • goal Cameron Jerome 82'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 25, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • John Akinde 1' goal
  • John Akinde 26' goal
  • John Akinde 39' goal
  • goal Simon Church 3'
League Two
Feb 23, 2008 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Michael Leary 45' redcard
  • Sagi Burton-Godwin 77' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Navarro 13'
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 17'
  • yellowcard Alan Navarro 32'
  • yellowcard Keith Andrews 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Gallen 90'
League Two
Jan 12, 2008 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Drissa Diallo 21' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neal Bishop 2'
  • yellowcard Ashley Carew 7'
  • goal Ismail Yakubu 22'
  • yellowcard Cliff Akurang 80'