May 2, 2026 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Michael Olakigbe 46'
Aidan Borland 46'
Ben Middlemas 45'+3'
Ollie Palmer 71'
Joe Snowdon 71'
Darren Oldaker 76'

Lee Bonis 19'
Janoi Donacien 46'
Dilan Markanday 61'
Tom Naylor 70'
James Berry 90'+3'
W. Dickson 90'+3'
Will Grigg 90'+3'

Swindon Town vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

L
D
L
W
D
D

League Two

L
D
L
W
D
D

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm

Grimsby Town 4 - 0 Swindon

Goals scored

68

Top scorer

Aaron Drinan

Chesterfield

All competitions

W
D
W
D
W
W

League Two

W
D
W
D
W
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm

Chesterfield 2 - 0 Crewe

Goals scored

71

Top scorer

Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 34.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 26.78%

Chesterfield 38.45% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

52.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 27.42% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 47.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 52.19% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 26.3%

Under 3.5 73.7%

Over 4.5 13.89% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 86.11% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 27.75%

Draw 44.28%

Chesterfield 27.97%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 41.78%

No Goal 7.81%

Chesterfield 50.41%

Corners

Over 8 62.34%

Equal 8 10.89%

Under 8 26.76%

Over 9 50.84%

Equal 9 11.5%

Under 9 37.66%

Over 10.5 39.71%

Under 10.5 60.29%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 66.23% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 3.7%

Under 3.5 96.3%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 70.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 29.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 37.23% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 62.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 14.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 85.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 4.61%

Under 3.5 95.39%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 34.76%

Draw 26.77%

Chesterfield 38.46%

Swindon Town

1-0 @ 9.89%

2-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.3%

3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 2.09%

Other @ 3.61%

Total : 34.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.57%

0-0 @ 7.81%

2-2 @ 5.23%

3-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 0.09%

Total : 26.77%

Chesterfield

0-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.03)

1-2 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.87%

0-3 @ 2.79%

2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 4.52%

Total : 38.46%

Head to Head

Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT

John Fleck 10'
Devan Tanton 39'

Finley Munroe 8'
Joe Snowdon 61'
Aaron Drinan 63'
Finley Munroe 69'
Paul Glatzel 75'
Connor Ripley 84'
Finley Munroe 90'+1'
Finley Munroe 90'+1'

Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

Harry Smith 9'
Ian Holloway 10'
Joel McGregor 42'
W 45'+5'
Kabongo Tshimanga 61'

Janoi Donacien 45'+3'
Jenson Metcalfe 90'+3'

Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Technique Stadium

Armando Dobra 15'
Paul Cook 18'

Jeff King 17'
Joel Cotterill 42'
Harry Smith 55'
Will Wright 64'
Will Wright 66'
Ollie Clarke 89'

Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Chris O'Grady 2'
Andy Kellett 51'
Louis Reed 82'
Bradley Barry 90'

Oliver Banks 72'
Chris Robertson 75'
Luke Norris 78'

Nov 11, 2017 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Kaiyne Woolery 36'
James Dunne 45'
Timi Elsnik 47'
Luke Norris 90'

Kristian Dennis 56'
Louis Reed 63'
Jak McCourt 72'
Laurence Maguire 89'
Kristian Dennis 90'
Ian Evatt 95'

Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Sam Hird 74'
Daniel Jones 84'
Ched Evans 92'
Reece Mitchell 93'

Form Data

Grimsby Town 4 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 2 - 2 Accrington

Colchester 3 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 2 - 1 Walsall

Cambridge 1 - 1 Swindon

Swindon 1 - 1 Fleetwood

Chesterfield 2 - 0 Crewe

Fleetwood 1 - 1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield 2 - 1 Grimsby Town

Chesterfield 1 - 1 Tranmere

Barrow 0 - 1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield 1 - 0 Cheltenham