League Two Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Grimsby Town 4 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Chesterfield 2 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 34.77% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-0 (9.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Swindon Town 34.77%
Draw 26.79%
Chesterfield 38.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.6%
Under 1.5 27.4%
Over 2.5 47.85%
Under 2.5 52.15%
Over 3.5 26.31%
Under 3.5 73.69%
Over 4.5 13.89%
Under 4.5 86.11%

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 27.73%
Draw 44.27%
Chesterfield 28%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 41.82%
No Goal 7.81%
Chesterfield 50.37%

Corners

Over 8 62.34%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 26.77%
Over 9 50.84%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 37.66%
Over 10.5 39.71%
Under 10.5 60.29%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.79%
Under 1.5 66.21%
Over 2.5 12.55%
Under 2.5 87.45%
Over 3.5 3.71%
Under 3.5 96.29%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 70.65%
Under 0.5 29.35%
Over 1.5 37.25%
Under 1.5 62.75%
Over 2.5 14.86%
Under 2.5 85.14%
Over 3.5 4.61%
Under 3.5 95.39%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 34.76%
Draw 26.8%
Chesterfield 38.47%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 34.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 38.47%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • John Fleck 10' goal
  • Devan Tanton 39' yellowcard
  • goal Finley Munroe 8'
  • goal Joe Snowdon 61'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 63'
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 69'
  • yellowcard Paul Glatzel 75'
  • yellowcard Connor Ripley 84'
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 9' yellowcard
  • Ian Holloway 10' redcard
  • Joel McGregor 42' yellowcard
  • W 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 61' goal
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jenson Metcalfe 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 15' goal
  • Paul Cook 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff King 17'
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 42'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 55'
  • goal Will Wright 64'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 66'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 89'
League Two
Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris O'Grady 2' goal
  • Andy Kellett 51' goal
  • Louis Reed 82' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barry 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Oliver Banks 72'
  • goal Chris Robertson 75'
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 78'
League Two
Nov 11, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kaiyne Woolery 36' yellowcard
  • James Dunne 45' yellowcard
  • Timi Elsnik 47' goal
  • Luke Norris 90' goal
  • goal Kristian Dennis 56'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 63'
  • goal Jak McCourt 72'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 89'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 90'
  • yellowcard Ian Evatt 95'
League One
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Sam Hird 74'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 84'
  • yellowcard Ched Evans 92'
  • goal Reece Mitchell 93'