League Two Gameweek 44
Swindon
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
Accrington
  • Ollie Palmer 18' goal
  • Aaron Drinan 20' goal
  • Darren Oldaker 58' yellowcard
  • James Scanlon 58' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 78' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 78' yellowcard
  • Joel McGregor 78' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Woods 1'
  • yellowcard Charlie Brown 26'
  • yellowcard Paddy Madden 72'
  • goal Luke Butterfield 90'+2'

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Colchester 3 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Accrington
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Shaun Whalley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.29% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 52.18% ▼ (-0.57)
Draw 25.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Accrington Stanley 22.52% ▲ (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06% ▲ (+0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 46.86% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 53.14% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 25.73% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 74.27% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 4.5 14.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 85.67% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 36.37% ▲ (+0.69)
Draw 44.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Accrington Stanley 19.53% ▼ (-0.83)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 54.33% ▼ (-2.57)
No Goal 8.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Accrington Stanley 37.65% ▲ (+2.40)

Corners

Over 8 70.31% ▲ (+0.90)
Equal 8 9.86% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 19.83% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 9 59.14% ▲ (+0.94)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 29.69% ▼ (-0.89)
Over 10.5 47.61% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 10.5 52.39% ▼ (-0.89)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 46.38% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 53.62% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 2.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 7.69% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 92.31% ▲ (+0.13)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 56.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 43.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.32% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 76.68% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 7.33% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 92.67% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 1.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 52.19%
Draw 25.31%
Accrington Stanley 22.52%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 52.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.31%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.52%

Head to Head

League Two
Accrington
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swindon
League Two Gameweek 38
Swindon
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
Accrington
  • Harry Smith 21' yellowcard
  • Tunmise Sobowale 33' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 39'
  • yellowcard Kelsey Mooney 57'
FA Cup
Accrington
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET Wham Stadium
Swindon
  • Tyler Walton 17' goal
  • Tyler Walton 90'+1' goal
  • Seamus Conneely 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gavin Kilkenny 25'
  • redcard Daniel Butterworth 41'
  • goal Grant Hall 45'+2'
  • goal Joel Cotterill 70'
League Two Gameweek 16
Accrington
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Wham Stadium
Swindon
  • Sonny Aljofree 16' goal
  • Farrend Rawson 30' goal
  • Ben Woods 77' yellowcard
  • Dara Costelloe 90' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 11'
  • yellowcard Daniel Butterworth 36'
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 53'
  • yellowcard Paul Glatzel 59'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 65'
  • goal Daniel Butterworth 69'
League Two Gameweek 38
Swindon
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
Accrington
  • George McEachran 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 47' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 14'
  • goal Jack Nolan 57'
  • goal Alex Henderson 82'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 90'
League Two Gameweek 20
Accrington
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Wham Stadium
Swindon
  • Jay Bagueloc'rich 6' yellowcard
  • John Coleman 7' redcard
  • Jon McCracken 17' yellowcard
  • Seamus Conneely 18' yellowcard
  • Brad Hills 29' yellowcard
  • Rosaire Longelo-Mbule 33' yellowcard
  • Matt Lowe 87' yellowcard
  • Korede Adedoyin 90'+2' goal
  • Brad Hills 90'+7' goal
  • Brad Hills 90'+10' goal
  • goal Dan Kemp 17'
  • yellowcard Dan Kemp 25'
  • goal Jake Young 31'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 49'
  • goal Saidou Khan 60'
  • goal Charlie Austin 89'

Form Data

Colchester 3 - 0 Swindon
Swindon 2 - 1 Walsall
Cambridge 1 - 1 Swindon
Swindon 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Tranmere 0 - 1 Swindon
Gillingham 0 - 2 Swindon
Colchester 2 - 1 Accrington
Accrington 1 - 2 Fleetwood
Gillingham 2 - 0 Accrington
Accrington 2 - 0 Crewe
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Accrington
Accrington 0 - 1 Chesterfield