League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Cambridge 0 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Jaze Kabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Chesterfield 39.95% (-0.04)
Draw 27.39%
Grimsby Town 32.66% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.21%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.89%
Under 1.5 28.11%
Over 2.5 46.94%
Under 2.5 53.06%
Over 3.5 25.37%
Under 3.5 74.63%
Over 4.5 13.46% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.54% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chesterfield 30.21%
Draw 42.24%
Grimsby Town 27.56%

Team To Score First

Chesterfield 47.25%
No Goal 8.26%
Grimsby Town 44.49%

Corners

Over 8 62.47%
Equal 8 10.8%
Under 8 26.73%
Over 9 51.07%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 37.53%
Over 10.5 40.01%
Under 10.5 59.99%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 1.5 37.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.1% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.9% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.13% (+0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.61% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.39% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.09% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.91% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.51% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.41%
Under 3.5 96.59%

Score analysis

Chesterfield 39.95%
Draw 27.39%
Grimsby Town 32.65%
Chesterfield
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Total : 39.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.39%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Jordan Davies 17' goal
  • Jason Svanthorsson 57' yellowcard
  • Denver Hume 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Naylor 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 70'
  • yellowcard John Fleck 90'+2'
EFL Trophy
Nov 12, 2024 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • James Berry 8' goal
  • Paddy Madden 39' goal
  • James Berry 58' goal
  • Tom Naylor 70' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Cass 18'
  • goal Cameron Gardner 47'
  • yellowcard Harvey Cribb 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • Paul Cook 0' yellowcard
  • Darren Oldaker 24' yellowcard
  • James Berry 27' goal
  • Jamie Grimes 39' yellowcard
  • Dilan Markanday 45'+2' goal
  • Darren Oldaker 67' redcard
  • Will Grigg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrell Warren 26'
  • goal Charles Vernam 50'
  • yellowcard Charles Vernam 58'
  • yellowcard Matty Carson 63'
  • yellowcard Will Grigg 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 38
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Laurence Maguire 6' goal
  • Jeff King 6' yellowcard
  • goal John McAtee 27'
  • yellowcard John McAtee 28'
  • goal Gavan Holohan 31'
  • goal Harry Clifton 50'
  • goal Ryan Taylor 78'
National League Gameweek 20
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giles Coke 48' yellowcard
  • goal Kabongo Tshimanga 84'
  • yellowcard Curtis Weston 85'