Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.