Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.