Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.