League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 0 - 2 Crawley
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Harry McKirdy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 3 Harrogate
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jaze Kabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 32.44% and a draw has a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Crawley Town 32.44% (+0.08)
Draw 26.92% (-0.03)
Grimsby Town 40.61% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.44% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.56% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 47.65% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 52.35% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 26.14% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.86% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.87% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.13% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Crawley Town 25.92%
Draw 43.04%
Grimsby Town 31.04%

Team To Score First

Crawley Town 41.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.94% (-0.05)
Grimsby Town 50.39% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.72% (-0.33)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.35% (+0.33)
Over 9 51.13% (-0.31)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.28% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 39.88% (-0.26)
Under 10.5 60.12% (+0.26)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 1.5 32.17% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.83% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 11.71% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.29% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.48% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.52% (-0.04)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.22%
Under 0.5 27.78%
Over 1.5 38.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.52%
Under 2.5 84.48%
Over 3.5 5.1%
Under 3.5 94.9%

Score analysis

Crawley Town 32.45%
Draw 26.92%
Grimsby Town 40.61%
Crawley Town
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.52% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3% (+0.03)
Total : 32.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.92%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 40.61%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Danilo Orsi 24' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 24' goal
  • Klaidi Lolos 34' goal
  • Klaidi Lolos 34' goal
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Blundell Park
  • Gavan Holohan 24' goal
  • Abo Eisa 30' goal
  • Kamil Conteh 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 17'
  • goal Liam Kelly 32'
  • goal Ronan Darcy 35'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Dom Telford 87' goal
  • goal Harry Clifton 42'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Anthony Glennon 4' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 52' goal
  • Ryan Taylor 85' goal
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Filipe Morais 21' goal
  • Joe Bunney 69' yellowcard
  • Joe Adams 70' yellowcard
  • Joe Adams 79' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 85' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Jack Powell 30'
  • yellowcard Josh Wright 32'
  • yellowcard Jake Hessenthaler 90'