League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Michael Spellman

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Jay Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 35.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 0-1 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Newport County 38.68% (-0.08)
Draw 26.28%
Crawley Town 35.04% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.56% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 49.26% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 50.74% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 27.54% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.46% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.05% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Newport County 27.64%
Draw 44.73%
Crawley Town 27.62%

Team To Score First

Newport County 46.09% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.54% (-0.04)
Crawley Town 46.37% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.76%
Equal 8 10.14%
Under 8 24.1%
Over 9 54.76%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 34.24%
Over 10.5 43.79%
Under 10.5 56.21%

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 37.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.32%
Under 2.5 84.68%
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.44% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.56% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 34.84% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 65.16% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 13.47% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.53% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.73% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 38.67%
Draw 26.27%
Crawley Town 35.04%
Newport County
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 38.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.27%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.91% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.12% (+0.03)
Total : 35.04%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Rodney Parade
  • Harry Charsley 81' yellowcard
  • goal Dion Conroy 1'
  • yellowcard Corey Addai 17'
  • goal Ronan Darcy 26'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 45'+4'
  • goal Laurence Maguire 69'
  • goal Adam Campbell 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Roles 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Nick Tsaroulla 5' goal
  • Adam Campbell 54' goal
  • Adam Campbell 64' yellowcard
  • Adam Campbell 67' goal
  • Ben Gladwin 79' goal
  • Jay Williams 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Omar Bogle 10'
  • yellowcard Omar Bogle 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Matt Dolan 83' goal
  • Offrande Zanzala 90'+2' goal
  • goal Dom Telford 36'
  • goal Dom Telford 67'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • James Tilley 40' goal
  • Ashley Nadesan 57' goal
  • goal Nathan Moriah-Welsh 79'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • James Waite 19' yellowcard
  • James Waite 59' goal
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 15'
  • goal Ludwig Francillette 21'