Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.58% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.