Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.