Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.32% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.