Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%).