Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%).