Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.