League Two Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 0 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 4 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 27.19% and a draw has a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 1-2 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.59%).

Result

Notts County 50.13%
Draw 22.68%
Bristol Rovers 27.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.9% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 62.03%
Under 2.5 37.97%
Over 3.5 40.29%
Under 3.5 59.71%
Over 4.5 25.61%
Under 4.5 74.39%

First Half Winner

Notts County 37.08%
Draw 44%
Bristol Rovers 18.91%

Team To Score First

Notts County 57.34% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.6% (+0.01)
Bristol Rovers 38.06%

Corners

Over 8 58.74%
Equal 8 12.29%
Under 8 28.96%
Over 9 46.05%
Equal 9 12.7%
Under 9 41.26%
Over 10.5 34.18%
Under 10.5 65.82%

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 53.37%
Under 1.5 46.63%
Over 2.5 27.96%
Under 2.5 72.04%
Over 3.5 12.03%
Under 3.5 87.97%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 64.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.5% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

Score analysis

Notts County 50.13%
Draw 22.68%
Bristol Rovers 27.17%
Notts County
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 11.66%
Total : 50.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.68%
Bristol Rovers
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ellis Harrison 34' yellowcard
  • Clinton Mola 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 18'
  • yellowcard Keanan Bennetts 32'
  • redcard Tyrese Hall 35'
  • yellowcard Alassana Jatta 53'
  • goal Matthew Dennis 86'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 89'
  • yellowcard Oliver Norburn 90'+4'
FA Cup
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Ryan Yates 30' goal
  • Ryan Yates 31' goal
  • Jon Stead 58' goal
  • Daniel Jones 94' yellowcard
  • Jorge Grant 96' goal
  • goal Liam Sercombe 8'
  • goal Stuart Sinclair 12'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 64'
League Two
Mar 5, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thierry Audel 40' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Montano 43'
  • goal Lee Brown 50'
League Two
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Stanley Aborah 50'
  • yellowcard Mawouna Amevor 86'
League One
Mar 19, 2011 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Gary Sawyer 51'
  • goal Will Hoskins 62'
  • yellowcard Danny Coles 66'
  • yellowcard Chris Lines 86'
  • yellowcard Danny Senda 87'
League One
Sep 25, 2010 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Will Hoskins 5' goal
  • Stuart Campbell 13' yellowcard
  • Will Hoskins 56' goal
  • Mikkel Andersen 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graeme Lee 22'
  • redcard Graeme Lee 39'
  • goal Ben Davies 87'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 90'