Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.