Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.