Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.