Club Friendlies 3
Jul 12, 2026 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
  • Dániel Gazdag 54' goal
  • goal Oluwaseun Adewumi 87'

Columbus Crew vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 4.00pm
Nashville 1 - 0 Columbus Crew

Burnley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 3 - 1 Burnley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Columbus Crew 69.11% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 18.4% ▼ (-0.20)
Burnley 12.54% ▲ (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% ▲ (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.73% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 1.5 20.27% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 2.5 57.76% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 2.5 42.24% ▼ (-1.54)
Over 3.5 33.8% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 66.15% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 4.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 77.31% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Columbus Crew 53.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 33.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Burnley 12.86% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Columbus Crew 71.44% ▲ (+1.32)
No Goal 5.03% ▼ (-0.38)
Burnley 23.53% ▼ (-0.93)

Corners

Over 8 49.01% ▼ (-0.40)
Equal 8 11.93% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 8 39.06% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 9 37.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.35% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 9 50.99% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 10.5 27.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 72.28% ▼ (-0.16)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 1.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 36.78% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 36.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 63.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 17.65% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 82.35% ▲ (+0.42)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 45.03% ▲ (+1.56)
Under 0.5 54.97% ▼ (-1.56)
Over 1.5 15.97% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 1.5 84.03% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 2.5 4.38% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 95.62% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 0.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 99.02% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 69.1%
Draw 18.4%
Burnley 12.54%
Columbus Crew
2-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.48)
1-0 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.33)
2-1 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 17.47% ▼ (-0.46)
Total : 69.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.4%
Burnley
0-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.46)
0-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 12.54%