Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.30am
Red Bull Arena

New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.30pm
NY City 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Wessam Abou Ali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 35.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 35.61% (+3.36)
Draw 24.47% (-0.46)
Columbus Crew 39.92% (-2.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.1% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.33% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 18.67% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 60.04% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 39.93% (-0.51)
Over 3.5 37.62% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 62.38% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 22.29% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 77.71% (-0.34)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 31.62% (+2.41)
Draw 37.51% (+0.97)
Columbus Crew 30.87% (-3.38)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 45.08% (+1.45)
No Goal 4.83% (-0.21)
Columbus Crew 50.09% (-1.25)

Corners

Over 8 62.9% (-3.54)
Equal 8 11.56% (+0.71)
Under 8 25.54% (+2.83)
Over 9 50.56% (-3.94)
Equal 9 12.34% (+0.42)
Under 9 37.1% (+3.54)
Over 10.5 38.61% (-4.00)
Under 10.5 61.39% (+4.00)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 41.11% (+2.94)
Under 1.5 58.89% (-2.94)
Over 2.5 18.01% (+2.26)
Under 2.5 81.99% (-2.25)
Over 3.5 6.46% (+1.02)
Under 3.5 93.54% (-1.02)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 74.94% (-1.86)
Under 0.5 25.06% (+1.86)
Over 1.5 44.77% (-2.40)
Under 1.5 55.23% (+2.40)
Over 2.5 20.51% (-1.85)
Under 2.5 79.49% (+1.85)
Over 3.5 7.68% (-1.02)
Under 3.5 92.32% (+1.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 35.61%
Draw 24.46%
Columbus Crew 39.91%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.15% (+0.45)
1-0 @ 6.7% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.88% (+0.50)
3-1 @ 4.06% (+0.50)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.40)
3-0 @ 2.46% (+0.36)
Other @ 6.17% (+1.08)
Total : 35.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.06)
Total : 24.46%
Columbus Crew
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.32)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.51)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.36)
Other @ 7.39% (-0.96)
Total : 39.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
Nov 3, 2024 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Felipe Carballo 49' yellowcard
  • Dante Vanzeir 64' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 80' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Max Arfsten 55'
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 90'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 90'+6'
MLS Playoffs
Oct 29, 2024 10.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Max Arfsten 57' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Carballo 25'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Sandro Schwarz 36' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 78' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 87' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 89' yellowcard
  • goal Aziel Jackson 2'
  • goal Yevgen Cheberko 14'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 35'
  • yellowcard Max Arfsten 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 47'
  • goal Malte Amundsen 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 13' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 56' goal
  • Aidan Morris 66' goal
  • Darlington Nagbe 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 28'
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 68'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 74'
  • redcard Daniel Edelman 90'+6'