Apr 26, 2026 12.30am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT TQL Stadium

Kévin Denkey 40'
Kévin Denkey 45'+5'
Ender Echenique 61'
Tom Barlow 61'
Ayoub Jabbari 79'
Kévin Denkey 79'
Gilberto Flores 89'

Matthew Dos Santos 46'
Emil Forsberg 62'
Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
Rafael Mosquera 73'
Nehuén Benedetti 85'

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

D
D
D
L
W
L

Major League Soccer

D
D
D
L
W
L

Last game

Apr 23, 2026 12.30am

NY City 4 - 4 Cincinnati

Goals scored

19

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

D
L
W
D
W
L

Major League Soccer

D
L
D
W
L
D

Last game

Apr 23, 2026 12.30am

NY Red Bulls 4 - 4 DC United

Goals scored

16

Top scorer

Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 50.21%

Draw 24.9%

New York Red Bulls 24.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

56.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 21.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 55.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 44.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 33.42%

Under 3.5 66.58%

Over 4.5 20.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 79.74% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 39.47%

Draw 37.4%

New York Red Bulls 23.14%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 52.99% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)

New York Red Bulls 40.72%

Corners

Over 8 60.1%

Equal 8 11.02%

Under 8 28.88%

Over 9 48.68%

Equal 9 11.43%

Under 9 39.9%

Over 10.5 37.78%

Under 10.5 62.22%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 50.22%

Under 1.5 49.78%

Over 2.5 24.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 75.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 10.25%

Under 3.5 89.75%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 61.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 38.69% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 29.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 70.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 11.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 88.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 3.86%

Under 3.5 96.14%

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.21%

Draw 24.9%

New York Red Bulls 24.92%

FC Cincinnati

1-0 @ 9.73%

2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 8.27%

3-1 @ 5.22%

3-0 @ 4.72%

3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 9.71%

Total : 50.21%

Draw

1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.68%

3-3 @ 1.39%

Other @ 0.54%

Total : 24.9%

New York Red Bulls

1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.02)

0-1 @ 5.77%

0-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.26%

2-3 @ 2.13%

0-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.32%

Total : 24.92%

Head to Head

Apr 5, 2026 12.30am

4

2

HT : 1 1

FT Sports Illustrated Stadium

Julian Hall 12'
Emil Forsberg 48'
Kyle Smith 65'
Omar Valencia 70'
Tanner Rosborough 70'
Nehuén Benedetti 80'
Mohammed Sofo 80'
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Mohammed Sofo 90'+3'

Pavel Bucha 17'
Tah Anunga 67'
Kyle Smith 72'
Kenji Mboma Dem 75'
Alvas Powell 75'
Teenage Hadebe 75'
Ayoub Jabbari 84'

Oct 5, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 23, 2025 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Obinna Nwobodo 64'
Obinna Nwobodo 64'
Kevin Denkey 70'
Kevin Denkey 70'
Corey Baird 88'
Corey Baird 88'

Alexander Hack 59'
Alexander Hack 59'

Jul 21, 2024 12.30am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field

Lewis Morgan 7'
Lewis Morgan 7'
Kyle Duncan 52'
Kyle Duncan 52'
Lewis Morgan 59'
Lewis Morgan 59'
Dylan Nealis 79'
Dylan Nealis 79'

Corey Baird 67'
Corey Baird 67'
DeAndre Yedlin 88'
DeAndre Yedlin 88'
Ian Murphy 90'
Ian Murphy 90'

Apr 7, 2024 12.30am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Nippert Stadium

Yuya Kubo 3'
Yuya Kubo 3'
Obinna Nwobodo 32'
Obinna Nwobodo 32'
Matt Miazga 45'+4'
Matt Miazga 45'+4'
Luca Orellano 74'
Luca Orellano 74'

Frankie Amaya 19'
Frankie Amaya 19'
Dante Vanzeir 60'
Dante Vanzeir 60'
Frankie Amaya 70'
Frankie Amaya 70'
Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
Serge Ngoma 90'+5'

Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm

Nippert Stadium

Form Data

NY City 4 - 4 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Tigres 5 - 1 Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls 4 - 4 DC United

Montreal 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls

NY Red Bulls 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Inter Miami 2 - 2 NY Red Bulls

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Charlotte FC 6 - 1 NY Red Bulls