Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 7.30pm
Montreal 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw has a probability of 24.82% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 1-2 (6.66%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 50.62%
Draw 24.82%
New York Red Bulls 24.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34%
Under 1.5 21.66%
Over 2.5 55.78%
Under 2.5 44.22%
Over 3.5 33.47%
Under 3.5 66.5%
Over 4.5 20.3%
Under 4.5 79.7%

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 39.65%
Draw 37.31%
New York Red Bulls 23.04%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 52.55%
No Goal 6.25%
New York Red Bulls 41.2%

Corners

Over 8 59.91%
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 29.06%
Over 9 48.5%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 40.09%
Over 10.5 37.64%
Under 10.5 62.36%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 50.58%
Under 1.5 49.42%
Over 2.5 25.02%
Under 2.5 74.98%
Over 3.5 10.4%
Under 3.5 89.6%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 61.07%
Under 0.5 38.93%
Over 1.5 29.66%
Under 1.5 70.34%
Over 2.5 10.9%
Under 2.5 89.1%
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.62%
Draw 24.82%
New York Red Bulls 24.6%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 9.87%
Total : 50.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.82%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-1 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 24.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Julian Hall 12' goal
  • Emil Forsberg  48' goal
  • Kyle Smith 65' goal
  • Omar Valencia 70' yellowcard
  • Tanner Rosborough 70' yellowcard
  • Nehuén Benedetti 80' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  80' yellowcard
  • Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 86' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  90'+3' goal
  • goal Pavel Bucha 17'
  • yellowcard Tah Anunga 67'
  • goal Kyle Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Kenji Mboma Dem 75'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 75'
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 75'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Jabbari 84'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Obinna Nwobodo 64' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 64' yellowcard
  • Kevin Denkey 70' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 70' goal
  • Corey Baird 88' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 59'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm
Nippert Stadium