Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 6.30pm
New England 6 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
Orlando City 2 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Wikelman José Carmona Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw has a probability of 21.75% and a win for CF Montreal has a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a CF Montreal win it is 0-1 (5.05%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 59.94%
Draw 21.75%
CF Montreal 18.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73%
Under 1.5 21.27%
Over 2.5 56.28%
Under 2.5 43.72%
Over 3.5 34.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.47% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.56% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 45.56%
Draw 35.73%
CF Montreal 18.71%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 63.99% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.51% (-0.01)
CF Montreal 30.5%

Corners

Over 8 62.82%
Equal 8 10.17%
Under 8 27.02%
Over 9 52.05%
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 37.18%
Over 10.5 41.52%
Under 10.5 58.48%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 57.17% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.83% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 30.65% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 69.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.35%
Under 3.5 86.65%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 54.27% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.73% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.84%
Under 1.5 77.16%
Over 2.5 7.31%
Under 2.5 92.69%
Over 3.5 2.06%
Under 3.5 97.94%

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 59.95%
Draw 21.74%
CF Montreal 18.27%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.18%
Total : 59.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.74%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 5.05%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.27%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Miles Robinson 22' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 22' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 36' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 36' goal
  • Ian Murphy 40' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 40' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 53' goal
  • Luca Orellano 53' goal
  • Luca Orellano 57' goal
  • Luca Orellano 57' goal
  • Sergio Santos 71' goal
  • Sergio Santos 71' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 47'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 47'
  • goal Kwadwo Opoku 81'
  • goal Kwadwo Opoku 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 86'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 86'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alvarez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alvarez 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Joel Waterman 29' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 29' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 38' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 38' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 45'+4' goal
  • Josef Martinez 45'+4' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 62' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 62' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 18'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 18'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 21'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 21'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 58'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 58'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 66'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 66'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Victor Wanyama 34' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 34' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Opoku 53' goal
  • Kwadwo Opoku 53' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Chinonso Offor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Sirois 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Sirois 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 90'+2'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 90'+7'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joel Waterman 2' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 26' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 65' goal