Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.