Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2026 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Kelvin Yeboah 66' goal
  • Devin Padelford 77' yellowcard
  • Owen Gene 90'+1' yellowcard
  • D.J. Taylor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • D.J. Taylor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Dieng 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Julian Gressel 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 69'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 69'
  • yellowcard Kenji Mboma Dem 85'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 85'
  • yellowcard Kenji Mboma Dem 86'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 86'
  • yellowcard Tah Anunga 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Gilberto Flores 90'+7'

Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
Austin 2 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 37.7%
Draw 25.95% (-0.04)
FC Cincinnati 36.35% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.01% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.95%
Under 2.5 47.05%
Over 3.5 31.2% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.8% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.51% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.49% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 28.77%
Draw 41.6%
FC Cincinnati 29.63%

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 45.24%
No Goal 6.7%
FC Cincinnati 48.06%

Corners

Over 8 59.38%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 29.3%
Over 9 47.7%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 40.62%
Over 10.5 36.64%
Under 10.5 63.36%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 39.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.39% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.6%
Under 3.5 94.4%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.43% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.15% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.85% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.87% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.13% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 37.7%
Draw 25.96%
FC Cincinnati 36.36%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.42% (+0.01)
Total : 37.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 25.96%
FC Cincinnati
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.88% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.02% (+0.02)
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Allianz Field
  • Joaquin Pereyra 15' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 15' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 54' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 54' goal
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 16'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 16'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 34'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 34'
  • goal Luca Orellano 45'+1'
  • goal Luca Orellano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 68'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 68'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 73'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 73'
Major League Soccer
May 8, 2022 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 69'
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 73'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 87'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Zico Bailey 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Osvaldo Alonso 66'
  • yellowcard Chase Gasper 82'
  • goal Aaron Schoenfeld 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Kei Kamara 16' goal
  • Chase Gasper 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Molino 69' goal
  • Robin Lod 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathieu Deplagne 15'
  • yellowcard Allan Cruz 47'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Sep 27, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 29, 2019 9.00pm
7
1
HT : 4 0
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
  • Ike Opara 18' goal
  • Hassani Dotson 23' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 30' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 43' goal
  • Miguel Ibarra 54' yellowcard
  • Angelo Rodriguez 59' yellowcard
  • Ike Opara 70' goal
  • Mason Toye 76' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 79' yellowcard
  • Kevin Molino 87' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Ledesma 56'
  • yellowcard Justin Hoyte 73'