Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2026 9.30pm
Allianz Field

Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
Austin 2 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Morris Duggan

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 36.31% and a draw has a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result

Minnesota United 37.7% (+0.61)
Draw 25.99% (+0.14)
FC Cincinnati 36.31% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.95% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 24.05% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 52.95% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 47.05% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 31.16% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 68.84% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 17.48% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.52% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 28.77%
Draw 41.6%
FC Cincinnati 29.63%

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 45.24% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.7% (+0.09)
FC Cincinnati 48.06% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.38%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 29.3%
Over 9 47.7%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 40.62%
Over 10.5 36.64%
Under 10.5 63.36%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 39.02% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.98% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 16.41% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 83.59% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 5.6% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.4% (-0.09)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 29.45% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 38.1% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 61.9% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 15.84% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 84.16% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 5.19% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 94.81% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 37.71%
Draw 25.98%
FC Cincinnati 36.3%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 8.88% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.71% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.41% (+0.09)
Total : 37.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 25.98%
FC Cincinnati
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.09)
Other @ 5% (-0.24)
Total : 36.3%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Allianz Field
  • Joaquin Pereyra 15' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 15' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 54' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 54' goal
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 16'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 16'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 34'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 34'
  • goal Luca Orellano 45'+1'
  • goal Luca Orellano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 68'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 68'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 73'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 73'
Major League Soccer
May 8, 2022 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 69'
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 73'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 87'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Zico Bailey 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Osvaldo Alonso 66'
  • yellowcard Chase Gasper 82'
  • goal Aaron Schoenfeld 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Kei Kamara 16' goal
  • Chase Gasper 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Molino 69' goal
  • Robin Lod 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathieu Deplagne 15'
  • yellowcard Allan Cruz 47'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Sep 27, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 29, 2019 9.00pm
7
1
HT : 4 0
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
  • Ike Opara 18' goal
  • Hassani Dotson 23' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 30' goal
  • Angelo Rodriguez 43' goal
  • Miguel Ibarra 54' yellowcard
  • Angelo Rodriguez 59' yellowcard
  • Ike Opara 70' goal
  • Mason Toye 76' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 79' yellowcard
  • Kevin Molino 87' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Ledesma 56'
  • yellowcard Justin Hoyte 73'