Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.