Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.09% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.