Club Friendlies 3
Feb 22, 2026 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 4
FT TQL Stadium
  • goal Donovan 4'
  • goal Wilson 10'
  • goal Showunmi 24'
  • goal Davila 33'

FC Cincinnati vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
Orlando City 3 - 2 Cincinnati

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 7.00pm
Seattle 3 - 1 Louisville City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Louisville City had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Louisville City win was 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 38.81% (+0.02)
Draw 25.9%
Louisville City 35.24% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.73% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.9% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.05%
Over 3.5 30.7% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.3% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.56% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.44% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 25%
Draw 43.58%
Louisville City 31.42%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 44.6% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.01% (+0.02)
Louisville City 48.39%

Corners

Over 8 60.73% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 28.13% (+0.01)
Over 9 49.12% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 39.27% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 38.01% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.99% (+0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 40.11%
Under 1.5 59.89%
Over 2.5 17.35% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.65% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.13% (+0.01)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 69.51% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.49% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 37.24% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.3% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.7% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.2% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.8% (+0.04)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 38.82%
Draw 25.9%
Louisville City 35.23%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.64%
Total : 38.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.01)
Total : 25.9%
Louisville City
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 4.97% (-0.03)
Total : 35.23%