Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Louisville City had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Louisville City win was 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.