Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Louisville City win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.