Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 12.00am
Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 3.00pm
Seattle 0 - 3 Metalist Kharkiv

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 7.00pm
Colorado Springs 0 - 0 Louisville City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Louisville City win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Seattle Sounders has a probability of 35.82% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win is 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Seattle Sounders 35.82% (+0.43)
Draw 25.04% (+0.33)
Louisville City 39.14% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.8% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.01% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 22.99% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 54.26% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 45.74% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 31.74% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 68.26% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 18.19% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 81.81% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Seattle Sounders 27.21% (-0.51)
Draw 40.95% (+0.67)
Louisville City 31.84% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Seattle Sounders 44.71% (+0.12)
No Goal 6.62% (+0.03)
Louisville City 48.67% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 54.77% (-0.44)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.68% (+0.46)
Over 9 43.27% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.04)
Under 9 45.23% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 32.75% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 67.25% (+0.32)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 15.47% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.53% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.05)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 71.73% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.27% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 59.19% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 6.38% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 93.62% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Seattle Sounders 35.83%
Draw 25.05%
Louisville City 39.15%
Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.06)
Total : 35.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 25.05%
Louisville City
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.32% (-0.32)
Total : 39.15%