Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Lumen Field
  • Albert Rusnak 31' goal
  • Albert Rusnák 31' goal
  • Osaze De Rosario 83' goal
  • Osaze De Rosario 90' goal

Seattle Sounders vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 3.00pm
Seattle 0 - 3 Metalist Kharkiv

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 7.00pm
Colorado Springs 0 - 0 Louisville City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Louisville City win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Seattle Sounders 35.82% (+0.43)
Draw 25.04% (+0.33)
Louisville City 39.14% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.8% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.01% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 22.99% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 54.26% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 45.74% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 31.74% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 68.26% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 18.19% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 81.81% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Seattle Sounders 27.21% (-0.51)
Draw 40.95% (+0.67)
Louisville City 31.84% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Seattle Sounders 44.71% (+0.12)
No Goal 6.62% (+0.03)
Louisville City 48.67% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 54.77% (-0.44)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.68% (+0.46)
Over 9 43.27% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.04)
Under 9 45.23% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 32.75% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 67.25% (+0.32)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 15.47% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.53% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.05)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 71.73% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.27% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 59.19% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 6.38% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 93.62% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Seattle Sounders 35.83%
Draw 25.05%
Louisville City 39.15%
Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.06)
Total : 35.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 25.05%
Louisville City
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.32% (-0.32)
Total : 39.15%