Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.