Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Mexico United win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Louisville City has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Louisville City win is 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).