Club Friendlies 3
Feb 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Patriot
  • Greg Hurst 74' yellowcard
  • goal Akale 22'
  • goal Showunmi 26'
  • goal Serrano 68'
  • goal Duke 71'

New Mexico United vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New Mexico United

All competitions

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 7.00pm
Louisville City 1 - 0 Austin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Mexico United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Louisville City had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Louisville City win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

New Mexico United 37.29% (-0.40)
Draw 27.49% (+0.68)
Louisville City 35.23% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.45% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 20.6% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 57.42% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 42.58% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 36.43% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 63.57% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 21.4% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 78.6% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

New Mexico United 28.62% (-0.40)
Draw 45.06% (+0.29)
Louisville City 26.32% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

New Mexico United 46.6% (+0.71)
No Goal 5.83% (-0.14)
Louisville City 47.57% (-0.57)

Corners

Over 8 59.75% (+1.71)
Equal 8 10.22% (+0.15)
Under 8 30.03% (-1.85)
Over 9 49.16% (+1.45)
Equal 9 10.59% (+0.25)
Under 9 40.25% (-1.71)
Over 10.5 39% (+1.12)
Under 10.5 61% (-1.12)

New Mexico United Goals

Over 1.5 43.21% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 56.79% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 19.09% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.91% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.65% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 93.35% (+0.50)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 72.55% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 27.45% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 40.63% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 59.37% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 18.35% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 81.65% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 5.91% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 94.09% (+0.28)

Score analysis

New Mexico United 37.28%
Draw 27.48%
Louisville City 35.24%
New Mexico United
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.41)
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.17% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.29% (-0.34)
Total : 37.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.50)
2-2 @ 6.8% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 2.57% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.18)
Total : 27.48%
Louisville City
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.66% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.55% (-0.11)
Total : 35.24%