Club Friendlies 3
Feb 3, 2026 3.00pm
Stadion Patriot

New Mexico United vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New Mexico United

All competitions

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 12.00am
Austin 1 - 0 Louisville City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Mexico United win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Louisville City has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Louisville City win is 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

New Mexico United 37.69% (-0.18)
Draw 26.81% (+0.25)
Louisville City 35.5% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.09% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 20.91% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 57.54% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 42.46% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 36.13% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 63.87% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 21.29% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 78.71% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

New Mexico United 29.02% (+0.08)
Draw 44.78% (-0.04)
Louisville City 26.2% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

New Mexico United 45.9% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.97% (+0.01)
Louisville City 48.13% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.05% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.08% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.88% (-0.07)
Over 9 47.71% (+0.06)
Equal 9 10.34% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.95% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 37.88% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.12% (-0.04)

New Mexico United Goals

Over 1.5 43.05% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 56.95% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 19.01% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 80.99% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 7.15% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 92.85% (-0.07)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.72% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 17.99% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 82.01% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.18% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.82% (-0.09)

Score analysis

New Mexico United 37.69%
Draw 26.81%
Louisville City 35.5%
New Mexico United
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.06)
Other @ 6.62% (-0.01)
Total : 37.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.53% (+0.08)
Total : 26.81%
Louisville City
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.65% (+0.02)
Total : 35.5%