Club Friendlies 3
Jan 28, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Alastuey 60' goal
  • goal Alastuey 60'

Louisville City vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 9.00pm
Houston 0 - 0 Louisville City

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 5.00pm
Austin 0 - 0 San Antonio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Louisville City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Louisville City 36.25% (+3.18)
Draw 25.88% (-1.32)
Austin FC 37.93% (-1.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (+2.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.04% (+1.86)
Under 1.5 24.96% (-1.86)
Over 2.5 52.12% (+2.15)
Under 2.5 47.88% (-2.15)
Over 3.5 29.87% (+2.49)
Under 3.5 70.13% (-2.49)
Over 4.5 16.92% (+1.53)
Under 4.5 83.08% (-1.52)

First Half Winner

Louisville City 24.03% (+1.96)
Draw 47.2% (-1.42)
Austin FC 28.77% (-0.54)

Team To Score First

Louisville City 42.06% (+2.81)
No Goal 7.63% (-1.76)
Austin FC 50.31% (-1.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.57% (-1.11)
Equal 8 10.73% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.7% (+1.06)
Over 9 48.5% (-1.04)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.07)
Under 9 40.43% (+1.11)
Over 10.5 37.95% (-0.91)
Under 10.5 62.05% (+0.91)

Louisville City Goals

Over 1.5 36.48% (+3.28)
Under 1.5 63.52% (-3.28)
Over 2.5 15.43% (+2.22)
Under 2.5 84.57% (-2.23)
Over 3.5 4.79% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 95.21% (-0.84)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.11% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.57% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 61.43% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 16.1% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 83.9% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Louisville City 36.24%
Draw 25.88%
Austin FC 37.93%
Louisville City
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.37)
2-0 @ 5.43% (+0.48)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.55)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.53)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.68% (+0.85)
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-1.76)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 25.88%
Austin FC
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.88)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.50)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.06% (+0.12)
Total : 37.93%