Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.