Jan 23, 2026 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Gillette Stadium

Leonardo Campana 85'

Denkey 51'
Kévin Denkey 51'

New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

W
D
L
W
L
D

Club Friendlies 3

W

Last game

Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm

New England 4 - 0 Sarasota Paradise

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

L
W
D
L
W
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

New England Revolution 45.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 24.72% ▲ (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati 30.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

61.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38%

Under 1.5 19.62%

Over 2.5 59.86%

Under 2.5 40.14%

Over 3.5 38.36% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 61.64% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 4.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 37.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 35.75% ▲ (+0.10)

FC Cincinnati 26.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 53.57% ▼ (-0.08)

No Goal 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati 41.06% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Equal 8 11.55%

Under 8 29.35% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 9 47.19% ▼ (-0.06)

Equal 9 11.91%

Under 9 40.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 10.5 35.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 10.5 64.03% ▲ (+0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 51.5% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 24.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 75.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 10.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 89.86% ▲ (+0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 67.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 32.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 36.5%

Under 1.5 63.5%

Over 2.5 14.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 85.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 5.33%

Under 3.5 94.67%

Score analysis

New England Revolution 45.18%

Draw 24.72%

FC Cincinnati 30.11%

New England Revolution

2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 6.22%

3-1 @ 5.24%

3-2 @ 3.61%

3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 45.18%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.53%

2-2 @ 6.62%

0-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.81%

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 24.72%

FC Cincinnati

1-2 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 6.04%

0-2 @ 3.75%

1-3 @ 3.29%

2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.79%

Other @ 4.94%

Total : 30.11%

Head to Head

Jun 15, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Brayan Ceballos 16'
Mamadou Fofana 90'+3'

Kevin Denkey 26'
Kei Kamara 40'
Luca Orellano 52'
DeAndre Yedlin 59'

Apr 6, 2025 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Kevin Denkey 14'
Kevin Denkey 14'
Luca Orellano 39'
Luca Orellano 39'
Sergio Santos 65'
Sergio Santos 65'

Matt Polster 52'
Matt Polster 52'
Peyton Miller 82'
Peyton Miller 82'

Jun 23, 2024 12.30am

1

2

HT : 0 4

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Obinna Nwobodo 34'
Obinna Nwobodo 34'
Alvas Powell 45'+3'
Alvas Powell 45'+3'
Yuya Kubo 50'
Yuya Kubo 50'
DeAndre Yedlin 54'
DeAndre Yedlin 54'
Luca Orellano 63'
Luca Orellano 63'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 65'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 65'
Obinna Nwobodo 69'
Obinna Nwobodo 69'

Giacomo Vrioni 21'
Giacomo Vrioni 21'
Caleb Porter 35'
Caleb Porter 35'
Giacomo Vrioni 41'
Giacomo Vrioni 41'
Giacomo Vrioni 81'
Giacomo Vrioni 81'

Mar 17, 2024 6.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Gillette Stadium

Ian Harkes 48'
Giacomo Vrioni 62'
DeJuan Jones 83'
Giacomo Vrioni 90'+4'
Nacho Gil 90'+8'

46'
Yuya Kubo 52'
Luciano Acosta 54'
DeAndre Yedlin 63'
Luca Orellano 69'
Luciano Acosta 72'
Pavel Bucha 85'
Aaron Boupendza 90'+9'

Jul 2, 2023 12.30am

2

2

HT : 2 4

FT Nippert Stadium

Dominique Badji 11'
Dominique Badji 11'
Dominique Badji 55'
Dominique Badji 55'

Dominique Badji 15' (OG)
Dominique Badji 15' (OG)
Gustavo Bou 24'
Gustavo Bou 24'

Apr 30, 2023 12.30am

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Gillette Stadium

Emmanuel Boateng 45'+3'

Yerson Mosquera 31'

Form Data

New England 4 - 0 Sarasota Paradise

New England 2 - 2 Chicago Fire

Inter Miami 4 - 1 New England

New England 2 - 0 Atlanta

Philadelphia 1 - 0 New England

New England 1 - 1 Toronto

Cincinnati 0 - 4 Inter Miami

Cincinnati 2 - 1 Columbus Crew

Cincinnati 0 - 0 Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew 4 - 0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 1 - 0 Columbus Crew

Cincinnati 3 - 0 Montreal