Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT TQL Stadium
Atlanta
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 13' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 71' yellowcard
  • Kévin Denkey 80' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 89' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 89' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 90' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksey Miranchuk 73'
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Brennan 84'

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 23, 2025 10.00pm
Cincinnati 0 - 4 Inter Miami
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 51.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.13%
Atlanta United 23.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86%
Under 1.5 26.14%
Over 2.5 50.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.38%
Under 4.5 83.62%

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 40.06%
Draw 40.21%
Atlanta United 19.74%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 59.69% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Atlanta United 32.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.19%
Equal 8 12.24%
Under 8 31.57%
Over 9 43.86%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 43.81%
Over 10.5 32.52%
Under 10.5 67.48%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 47.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.6%
Under 3.5 91.4%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 58.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 41.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 25.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 74.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 8.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 51.82%
Draw 25.13%
Atlanta United 23.04%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 51.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.13%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.04%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 26, 2025 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Lukas Engel 9' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 27' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 59' yellowcard
  • Evander 70' goal
  • Evander 75' goal
  • yellowcard William Reilly 27'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 69'
  • goal Alvas Powell 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Dominique Badji 25' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Miazga 73' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 12'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 36'
  • redcard Thiago Almada 51'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 85'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'

Form Data

Universidad O&M 0 - 4 Cincinnati
Orlando City 3 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Detroit City
Houston 1 - 1 Cincinnati
New England 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 4 Inter Miami
Atlanta 0 - 0 Dallas
Atlanta 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 4 - 0 Lexington
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Atlanta