Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
TQL Stadium
Atlanta

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 23, 2025 10.00pm
Cincinnati 0 - 4 Inter Miami

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw has a probability of 25.13% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.43%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (6.76%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 51.86% ▲ (+0.57)
Draw 25.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Atlanta United 23.01% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2% ▼ (-0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 26.14% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 50.1% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 49.9% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 28.24% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 71.76% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 4.5 16.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 83.62% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 40.06%
Draw 40.21%
Atlanta United 19.74%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 59.68% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Atlanta United 32.76% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 56.19%
Equal 8 12.24%
Under 8 31.57%
Over 9 43.86%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 43.81%
Over 10.5 32.52%
Under 10.5 67.48%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 47.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 52.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 22.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 77.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 57.98% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 42.02% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 25.19% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 1.5 74.81% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 8.45% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 91.55% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 51.86%
Draw 25.13%
Atlanta United 23.01%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.82% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 51.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.13%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 26, 2025 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Lukas Engel 9' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 27' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 59' yellowcard
  • Evander 70' goal
  • Evander 75' goal
  • yellowcard William Reilly 27'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 69'
  • goal Alvas Powell 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Dominique Badji 25' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Miazga 73' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 12'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 36'
  • redcard Thiago Almada 51'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 85'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'

Form Data

Universidad O&M 0 - 4 Cincinnati
Orlando City 3 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Detroit City
Houston 1 - 1 Cincinnati
New England 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 4 Inter Miami
Atlanta 0 - 0 Dallas
Atlanta 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 4 - 0 Lexington
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Atlanta