Club Friendlies 3
Atlanta
Feb 11, 2026 5.00pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm
Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Dallas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 28.71% and a draw has a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Atlanta United 45.57%
Draw 25.72% ▼ (-0.02)
New York Red Bulls 28.71% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 20.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 57.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 42.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.63% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 36.99%
Draw 39.74% ▼ (-0.01)
New York Red Bulls 23.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 52.3% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.86%
New York Red Bulls 41.84% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.91%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 29.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 46.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 41.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 35.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 48.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.42% ▲ (+0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 45.57%
Draw 25.71%
New York Red Bulls 28.72%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 45.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.71%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.72%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Atlanta
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Carlos Coronel 70' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • 12' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Atlanta
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 32' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 45' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 78' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 7' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 8' goal

Form Data

Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 4 - 0 Lexington
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Atlanta
Los Angeles 1 - 0 Atlanta
New England 2 - 0 Atlanta
NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Dallas
NY Red Bulls 5 - 0 Hartford
NY Red Bulls 0 - 0 St Louis City
NY Red Bulls 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 0 - 1 Cincinnati