Feb 11, 2026 5.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 2

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

62'
64'
75'

Jorge Ruvalcaba 17'
Dos Santos 36'

Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

D
W
D
L
L
L

Club Friendlies 3

D
W

Last game

Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm

Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

L
W
W
L
L
L

Club Friendlies 3

L
W
W
L

Last game

Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm

NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Dallas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 45.59% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 25.73% ▲ (+0.02)

New York Red Bulls 28.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

58.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 20.4% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 57.55% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 2.5 42.45% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 3.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 4.5 21.42% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 4.5 78.58% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 39.74%

New York Red Bulls 23.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 52.33% ▲ (+0.04)

No Goal 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)

New York Red Bulls 41.82% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 8 11.81%

Under 8 29.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 9 46.73% ▼ (-0.03)

Equal 9 12.16% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 41.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 10.5 35.3% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 10.5 64.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 48.42% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 51.58% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 2.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 2.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 9.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 90.41% ▼ (-0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 65.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 34.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 34.33% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 65.67% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 2.5 13.45% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 86.55% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 95.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 45.58%

Draw 25.73%

New York Red Bulls 28.69%

Atlanta United

2-1 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 4.81%

3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)

3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 9.25%

Total : 45.58%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.04)

0-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 25.73%

New York Red Bulls

1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 2.86%

2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.81%

Other @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 28.69%

Head to Head

Jun 1, 2025 12.30am

2

0

HT : 4 0

FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison

Cameron Harper 3'
Cameron Harper 3'
Kyle Duncan 26'
Kyle Duncan 26'
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29'
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29'
Daniel Edelman 45'
Daniel Edelman 45'
Alexander Hack 61'
Alexander Hack 61'
Raheem Edwards 90'+5'
Raheem Edwards 90'+5'

Matthew Edwards 34'
Matthew Edwards 34'
Bartosz Slisz 78'
Bartosz Slisz 78'

Mar 9, 2025 12.30am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Emmanuel Latte Lath 8'
Emmanuel Latte Lath 8'
Matthew Edwards 40'
Matthew Edwards 40'

Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'

Oct 6, 2024 12.30am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Carlos Coronel 70'
Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
Rob Valentino 71'
Rob Valentino 71'
Aleksei Miranchuk 75'
Aleksei Miranchuk 75'
Tyler Wolff 90'+7'
Tyler Wolff 90'+7'

John Tolkin 32'
Sandro Schwarz 32'
John Tolkin 32'
Sandro Schwarz 32'
Dylan Nealis 66'
Dylan Nealis 66'
Emil Forsberg 69'
Emil Forsberg 69'
Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
Sean Nealis 70'
Carlos Coronel 70'
Sean Nealis 70'
Noah Eile 90'
Noah Eile 90'
Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
Serge Ngoma 90'+14'

Sep 22, 2024 12.30am

2

2

HT : 3 2

FT Red Bull Arena

12'
Dante Vanzeir 31'
Dante Vanzeir 31'
Felipe Carballo 45'+2'
Carlos Coronel 72'
Dylan Nealis 87'
Elias Manoel 90'+7'
Elias Manoel 90'+7'

Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'

Jun 25, 2023 12.30am

4

0

HT : 4 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Daniel Edelman 32'
Daniel Edelman 32'
Cristian Casseres Jr 45'
Cristian Casseres Jr 45'
Frankie Amaya 78'
Frankie Amaya 78'
Frankie Amaya 90'
Frankie Amaya 90'

Apr 2, 2023 12.30am

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Giorgos Giakoumakis 7'
Giorgos Giakoumakis 8'

Form Data

Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta

Atlanta 4 - 0 Lexington

Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United

Inter Miami 4 - 0 Atlanta

Los Angeles 1 - 0 Atlanta

New England 2 - 0 Atlanta

NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Dallas

NY Red Bulls 5 - 0 Hartford

NY Red Bulls 3 - 1 St Louis City

NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Sarasota Paradise

Columbus Crew 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls

NY Red Bulls 0 - 1 Cincinnati