Club Friendlies 3
Jan 21, 2026 12.00am
Red Bull Arena
  • 90' goal
  • goal 45'
  • goal 45'
  • goal 90'

New York Red Bulls vs Sarasota Paradise - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Sarasota Paradise

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
New England 6 - 0 Sarasota Paradise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 59.08%. A win for Sarasota Paradise has a probability of 21.13% and a draw has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.05%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Sarasota Paradise win is 1-2 (5.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.61%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 59.08% (-0.71)
Draw 19.79% (+0.15)
Sarasota Paradise 21.13% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.54% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.43% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 15.57% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 65.11% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 34.89% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 44.44% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 55.56% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 30.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 69.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 46.52%
Draw 34.42%
Sarasota Paradise 19.07%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 60.43% (-1.37)
No Goal 4.19% (+0.21)
Sarasota Paradise 35.38% (+1.18)

Corners

Over 8 46.53% (-2.16)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.24)
Under 8 41.21% (+1.93)
Over 9 35.1% (-2.20)
Equal 9 11.42% (+0.03)
Under 9 53.47% (+2.16)
Over 10.5 25.33% (-2.06)
Under 10.5 74.67% (+2.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 61.14% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 38.86% (+0.73)
Over 2.5 36.4% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 63.6% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 18.96% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 81.04% (-0.06)

Sarasota Paradise Goals

Over 0.5 56.43% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 43.57% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 28.03% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 71.97% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 10.68% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 89.32% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.44%
Under 3.5 96.56%

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 59.07%
Draw 19.79%
Sarasota Paradise 21.13%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.15)
Other @ 18.78% (+0.08)
Total : 59.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.19% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 19.79%
Sarasota Paradise
1-2 @ 5.38% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 4.07% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.66% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Total : 21.13%