Club Friendlies 3
Jan 21, 2026 12.00am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Sarasota Paradise - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Sarasota Paradise

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Sarasota Paradise has a probability of 30.31% and a draw has a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Sarasota Paradise win is 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.25%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 47.91% (+0.03)
Draw 21.78% (+0.02)
Sarasota Paradise 30.31% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.76% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.37% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.63% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 64.09% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 35.91% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 40.91% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 59.09% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 25.64% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 74.36% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 36.9% (-0.03)
Draw 37.13% (+0.04)
Sarasota Paradise 25.97% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 53.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.34% (+0.02)
Sarasota Paradise 42.08%

Corners

Over 8 44.57%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 43.71% (+0.01)
Over 9 33.8%
Equal 9 10.77%
Under 9 55.43%
Over 10.5 24.66%
Under 10.5 75.34%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 52.04%
Under 1.5 47.96%
Over 2.5 27.3%
Under 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 11.87% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.13% (-0.02)

Sarasota Paradise Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.65% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.27% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.73% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.96% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.04% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.03)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 47.91%
Draw 21.79%
Sarasota Paradise 30.31%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 11.5% (+0.01)
Total : 47.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.79%
Sarasota Paradise
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.04% (-0.02)
Total : 30.31%