Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.73% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.